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ITF Report - Drought & Inland Waterway Transport

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September 29, 2026

Prelims: Current events of national and international importance | Environment

Why in News?

Recently, International Transport Forum (ITF) warned that drought-induced low river levels are disrupting inland navigation, reducing cargo capacity and increasing freight costs.

ITF upsc 2026

Key Highlights of Report

River and Climate Indicators

  • Major affected European rivers – It includes the Rhine, Danube, Loire, and Po.
  • Rhine – Summer discharge may decrease by up to 10% by 2050 under high-emission scenarios.
  • In August 2026, Rhine barge capacity decreased to approximately 15% of normal levels, while Danube capacity declined to about 30%.
  • Amazon – Severe droughts have disrupted river navigation and limited access to food, fuel, medicines, and essential services.

Importance of Inland Waterways

  • Inland waterways account for 15 to 45 percent of freight transport, measured in tonne-kilometres, in Belgium, China, the Netherlands, and Romania.
  • United States – Approximately 92 percent of agricultural exports are transported via river systems.
  • Rhine – The river serves as a major transport route for fuels, chemicals, and grains.

Economic and Supply Chain Impacts

  • Low water levels reduce barge capacity, necessitating more trips, which increases freight costs, causes delays, leads to port congestion, and results in economic losses.
  • Germany – Low-water conditions on the Rhine in 2018 were associated with a 0.4 percent decline in gross domestic product (GDP).
  • Industrial production is estimated to decline by approximately 1 percent during a month of severe low-water conditions.

Challenges in Shifting to Alternative Transport Modes

  • Rail – Rail networks are often already heavily utilized and are vulnerable to disruptions caused by extreme heat.
  • Road – Shifting freight to road transport requires significantly greater capacity.
  • A single barge with a capacity of 1,500 tonnes is equivalent to approximately 60 trucks, each carrying 25 tonnes.

Adaptation Strategies

  • Enhancement of water-level forecasting capabilities
  • Deployment of shallow-draft vessels
  • Implementation of water retention measures during periods of high precipitation
  • Regulated releases of reservoir water
  • Execution of emergency dredging operations
  • Pre-positioning of essential stocks and storage facilities
  • Integration of inland waterways, rail, and road within multimodal transport systems
  • Germany offers water-level forecasts extending up to six weeks for the Rhine, Danube, and Elbe rivers.

Reference

Down to Earth | ITF Report

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