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Ties
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Challenges
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Opportunities
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US-Canada
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- Biden’s unavailability for the Republic Day celebrations.
- Postponement of Quad summit
- Allegation of India’s role in assassination of Khalistani separatist in both USA and Canada.
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- Both USA and India are invested heavily with each other.
- Indian PM has expressed India’s “commitment to the rule of law”.
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Pakistan
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- Election results of both nations could open avenues for restarting their relationship.
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Bangladesh
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- Election due in Bangladesh in 2024.
- Security imperatives as Bangladesh opposition is viewed with suspicion.
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- Improving connectivity between its Northeast and Bangladesh.
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China
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- Continuing deadlock due to border standoff since 2020.
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- Elections may change the diplomacy.
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West Asia and
Global South
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- Gaza conflict has tested India’s position.
- Global South did not take India’s initial support for Israel kindly.
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Russia
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- War in Ukraine test India’s position.
- Pressure from the US has kept India from giving Moscow a free hand.
- Payment crisis.
- 2023 is the 2nd year with no India-Russia annual summit at the level of leaders.
- Russia’s dependence on Beijing for its economic survival.
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- Imports of Russian oil.
- Leaders’ summit is possible at BRICS meet in 2024.
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West
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- The free trade pacts with the UK and European partners are said to be at a critical stage.
- Elections are due in both and this shrinks the policy space and flexibility for negotiators.
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- The dialogues with the US and EU on technology and trade, to remove the barriers for India to access high tech in AI, quantum computing, and cybersecurity.
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Maldives
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- Indian Out campaign by Maldives President.
- Maldives call for withdrew of Indian Military presence.
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Afghanistan
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- Afghanistan’s announcement of closing the Embassy of Afghanistan in Delhi.
- Removal of India’s embassy from Kabul after Taliban take over.
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- India is engaging with the Taliban, a technical team has been posted at the embassy in Kabul.
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